Korisničko ime: Lozinka:

Dobrodošli na SerbianMeteo Forum


Prisutni ste kao gost. Da biste imali pristup kompletnom sadržaju foruma, diskusijama, koristili pogodnosti slanja privatnih poruke itd, potrebno je da se registrujete KLIKOM OVDE. Posle procesa registracije, putem e-maila koji ste uneli, dobićete link za aktivaciju naloga. Neophodno je uneti validan e-mail. U suprotnom nećemo biti u mogućnosti da vam pošaljemo aktivacioni link.
Ukoliko imate problem u vezi sa registrovanjem ili neki drugi tehnički problem, kontaktirajte nas na office[at]serbianmeteo.com

Autor Tema: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.  (Pročitano 3524 puta)

Van mreže pavlovic

  • Moderator
  • ***
  • Poruke: 4.535
  • Starost: 38
  • Lokacija: Chicago, Illinois
Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« poslato: 26. Maj 2016. u 07:30 »
Dobro veče iz Kanzasa!

Danas sam uzeo pauzu i svesno propustio veliki tornado kod Saline, nekih 100km NE od Great Bend, gde sam sada.

Četiri dana u nizu u lovu na oluje za sada, sutra je dan pun potencijala, posle toga ide zatišje, pa se verovatno vraćam kući prekosutra.

Počeću sa najatraktivnijim danom, a to je bilo juče.

24.5.2016. Tornada oko Dodž Sitija, Kanzas

Superćelija: Da
Tornado: Da, najjači preliminarno ocenjen sa EF-3
Grad: Da
Dužina praćenja ćelije:120 minuta

Ovako je izgledala prognoza SPC:







Citat
...SUMMARY...
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT
   FOR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND
   THE NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE.  VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES
   WILL BE POSSIBLE.  ANOTHER FOCUSED SEVERE STORM THREAT AREA WILL BE
   ACROSS NORTHEAST COLORADO TO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON INTO
   EARLY TONIGHT.

   ...ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO SWRN KS AND NWRN OK...
   AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM JUST SW OF GCK/DDC AREA
   TOWARD GAG  OK WITH BILLOW CLOUDS INDICATING THE RELATIVELY STABLE
   AIR MASS FOR NOW. CONTINUED STRONG HEATING...AS WELL AS A RAPID NWD
   TRANSPORT OF UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 F DEWPOINTS WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED
   STORMS FORMING ON THIS BOUNDARY. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE WITH
   TIME COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET...AND THIS WILL SUPPORT
   SLOW-MOVING SUPERCELLS. EXTREME INSTABILITY WITH MIDLEVEL LAPSE
   RATES IN EXCESS OF 8.5 C/KM INDICATES TORNADOES MAY BE STRONG.

Ranopopodnevna sondaža iz Dodž Sitija.



Oko podneva odlazim nekih 60 km južno od Dodž Sitija, gde sa nekoliko drugih chasera prekraćujem dosadno vreme čekanja.


Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Svi smo malo nestrpljivi i oko 17h se razilazimo. Samo pola sata kasnije dolazi do eksplozivnog razvoja pola sata severno od pozicije, pa dajem gas i stižem taman kad je za ćeliju izdat tornado warning.

Kreće magija, tornado se diže, spušta, izvija, menja oblik, dok konačno ne uhvati zalet i postaje ozbiljan i pretnja za Dodž Siti. Razmileli smo se po poljima ne bi li prišli bliše tornadu, ali poljski putevi su puni blata, pa tražim izlaz nazad na asfalt.

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

IMG_5213 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Neverovatni prizori, dva tornada jedan pored drugog, na kratko se bio pojavio i treći.

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Iskobeljao sam se nekako iz blata, a na glavnom putu haos, vozila parkirana svuda, saobraćaj usporen, nažalost ima puno chasera koji nemaju nikakvu vozačku kulturu, divljaju, pretiču u zaustavnoj...

Nije ni čudo što lovce na oluje prati jako loš glas u ovim krajevima i ljudi ih ne vole.

Centar Dodž Sitija je ovoga puta imao sreće, zapadni delovi grada su stradali.

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

I taman kad se čini da je šou gotov, pojavi se nova surla

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Napokon se iščupavam iz gužve, krećem na sever rutom US 283, susrećem se sa wall cloudom, rotira, spuštaju se surlice, ali nema tačdauna. Polako nestaje u kišnoj zavesi, ćelije se spajaju.

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Nas nekoliko muva bez glave krećemo dalje ka severu, ali nas iznenadna rotacija zaustavlja, kiša je, ne vidi se ništa, pa što je sigurno sigurno je...

Kroz kišu i grad prolazim kroz Džetmor pa dalje na sever, duga za kraj

Dodge City, KS area tornadoes, 5/24/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Video:

Od wall cloud-a, do, prema prvim procenama EF-3 tornada.
Kasnije je grupa nas upala pod drugu rotaciju i morala da stane jer se od kiše nije videlo ima li nečega.
Za kraj sirene u varoši Jetmore i apokaliptični prizor.

Autofokus zeza...

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HiqMFkP5iaM" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HiqMFkP5iaM</a>

Upotrebljivih radarskih slika nažalost nema, ćelija se premeštala preko radara, a sledeći najbliži radar je preko 200km daleko.

Van mreže pavlovic

  • Moderator
  • ***
  • Poruke: 4.535
  • Starost: 38
  • Lokacija: Chicago, Illinois
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #1 poslato: 26. Maj 2016. u 07:59 »
21.5.2016. Liota, Kanzas tornado

Superćelija: Da
Tornado: Da, nekoliko kratkih tačdauna, koji su bili u kišnoj zavesi
Grad: Da
Dužina praćenja ćelije: 220 minuta

Prvog dana lova ponovio sam ono što sam uradio 9.maja 2015: otišao za Garden Siti, jeo u istom lokalu, sipao gorivo na istom mestu, provozao se do granice sa Koloradom, gde su se dogodili inicijalni razvoji.

Prvi razvoji su bili neugledni, ali čim sam ih video rekao sam, to je moja prva superćelija.

Trebalo je vremena da od odrpane oluje preraste u pravu lepoticu:

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

IMG_4772-Pano by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Kod mesta Liota postaje jasno da se kuva nešto ozbiljno, ogromni wall cloud. Topli inflow vetar je fijukao oko nas, ćelija je dodavala gas i usisavala ogromne količine toplog i vlažnog vazduha

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Prva dva tačdauna imam na videima, okačiću ih kasnije

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Treći tačdaun, tornado je u zavesi, potrajao je možda minut.

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Impresivna struktura:

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Amazing structure by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Šta je dobra SC, bez lepih mamatusa?

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Leoti KS tornadic supercell, 5/21/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr







Citat
...SUMMARY...
   A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA.  A SEPARATE
   AREA OF SEVERE STORMS IS ALSO EXPECTED FROM WESTERN KANSAS TO WEST
   CENTRAL TEXAS...WHERE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE.  A COUPLE OF TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING IN WESTERN KANSAS.

   ...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
   A BROAD UPPER LOW REMAINS CENTERED OVER PARTS OF CA/NV THIS
   MORNING...WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING ACROSS WESTERN CO.  THIS
   FEATURE WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
   THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG THE SURFACE DRYLINE NEAR THE KS/CO
   BORDER...SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE.  12Z
   MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW
   INTENSE CELLS LATER TODAY.  WHILE THE COVERAGE MAY BE
   LIMITED...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL AND DEEP
   LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
   DAMAGING WINDS.  A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.  IT APPEARS THE
   STORMS WILL NOT PROGRESS VERY FAR EASTWARD OVERNIGHT BEFORE
   WEAKENING DUE TO A NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS AND PROXIMITY OF UPPER
   RIDGE.

Sondaža iz Dodž Sitija:



Radarske slike, PPI i RHI















Videe ću postaviti prekosutra.
« Poslednja izmena: 26. Jun 2016. u 23:04 pavlovic »

Van mreže pavlovic

  • Moderator
  • ***
  • Poruke: 4.535
  • Starost: 38
  • Lokacija: Chicago, Illinois
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #2 poslato: 26. Maj 2016. u 08:20 »
22.5.2016, po pustarama Nebraske, od Mulena do Valentajna

Superćelija: Da, nekoliko
Tornado: Ne
Grad: Da
Dužina praćenja ćelija: 270 minuta

Vožnja pustarama severne Nebraske, rutom 97, gde jedna kola prođu na svakih pola sata, a na dužini od 120km nema naselja.

Ovoga dana sam pratio više ćelija, koje su se spajale. Prva ćelija je bila i najsevernija praćena ćelija, kratko je bila pod tornado warning, bila je opako zelenkasta.

Zmije, oblak i ja, ćelija u razvoju

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Fina struktura, onda su se ove dve ćelije spojile

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Gradna zavesa na levo, mene je pogodio grad do veličine lešnika

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Prošavši kroz jedan deo oblaka završio sam pravo ispred rotacije, nova tura grada se približavala

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Onda je počeo potop sa gradom, stižem do Valentajna, čupam se iz potopljenih ulica i krećem nazad ka Mulen drugim putem, gde je bilo saobraćaja i znakova života.

Nove jake ćelije su se razvijale od NE ka SW i spajale se u liniju

IMG_5013 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Zauzimam poziciju severno od Mulena, posmatram, slikam i snimam

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Mullen NE to Valentine NE supercells, 5/22/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Krećem na jug, sledeći dan sam lovio u Teksasu i Oklahomi. Videe ću okačiti prekosutra.

SPC prognoza:

Citat
...NORTHERN PLAINS...
   WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
   WESTERN UT.  LARGE SCALE UPPER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE
   WILL SPREAD INTO WY/CO THIS AFTERNOON...AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS
   THIS EVENING.  12Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
   SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ACROSS PARTS OF ND/SD/NORTHERN NEB
   BY 00Z AND SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE EVENING/NIGHT.  FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF ALL RISKS.
   HAVE ADDED A SMALL 5 PERCENT TORNADO RISK AREA TO PARTS OF SD/NEB
   WHERE SLIGHTLY BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST...AND WHERE
   SEVERAL 12Z CAM SOLUTIONS INDICATE A HIGHER RISK OF DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  ACTIVITY MAY GROW UPSCALE
   DURING THE EVENING WITH A CONTINUED RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
[/size]





Sondaža:



Radar:






















« Poslednja izmena: 26. Jun 2016. u 23:06 pavlovic »

Van mreže pavlovic

  • Moderator
  • ***
  • Poruke: 4.535
  • Starost: 38
  • Lokacija: Chicago, Illinois
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #3 poslato: 26. Maj 2016. u 08:42 »
23.5.2016, Teksas Penhendl i malo Oklahome

Superćelija: Da, nekoliko
Tornado: Ne
Grad: Da
Dužina praćenja ćelija: prve 90 minuta, ostalih u granicu OK i TX 160 minuta

Prva ćelija u Teksasu je navukla mnoge chasere i ispalila pošteno. Put je bio prepun kola i kombija, svi smo gledali malu SC kako kreće da rotira, a onda crkava jako brzo.

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Taman je počela izraženije da rotira, a onda je crkla jako brzo.

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Hedley TX supercell, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Povlačim se na sever, ka Higins TX i Folet TX, uz granicu sa Oklahomom. Bilo je dosta zanimljivih pokušaja

Follett TX - Catesby OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

A onda je jedna konkretna SC počela da sipa grad

Follett TX - Catesby OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Follett TX - Catesby OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Sada je i pod tornado warning

Follett TX - Catesby OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Vozim tik uz ivicu gradne zavese, stajem da vidim šta je izbacila

Follett TX - Catesby OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Razvoji dalje na NE

Woodward OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Woodward OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Woodward OK supercells, 5/23/2016 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

SPC prognoza:

Citat
...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
   WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS TWO SHORTWAVE TROUGHS THAT WILL LIKELY IMPACT
   THE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY.  ONE IS
   OVER NORTHERN AZ...AND IS FORECAST TO TRACK INTO CO/WRN KS BY THIS
   EVENING.  A SECOND TROUGH IS NOTED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO/SOUTHERN
   AZ/NM AND WILL MOVE INTO WEST TX AFTER SUNSET.  BOTH FEATURES WILL
   LIKELY HELP TO INITIATE SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE DRYLINE...BUT THE
   TIMING OF THESE FEATURES IS A LITTLE LATE TO MAXIMIZE THE SEVERE
   THREAT AROUND MAX HEATING.  THE RESULT IS THE RISK OF ISOLATED
   INTENSE SUPERCELLS FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL TX INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL KS...BUT
   CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING WHERE THE LARGER AND MORE INTENSE
   CLUSTERS WILL DEVELOP.

   A LONG-LIVED MCS OVER SOUTHERN OK IS PROCEEDING EASTWARD...ALLOWING
   THE RAPID RETURN OF RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS WESTERN
   OK AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST VERY STEEP MID
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG INSTABILITY...FAVORABLE FOR A RISK OF
   VERY LARGE HAIL IN THE STRONGER CELLS ACROSS THE ENHANCED RISK AREA.
    DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL FLOW IS ALSO SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL
   STRUCTURES INCLUDING A TORNADO OR TWO...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
   EVENTUAL BOWING STRUCTURES PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.
[/size]























Sondaža



Toliko od mene za sada, biće još dopuna.
« Poslednja izmena: 26. Jun 2016. u 23:07 pavlovic »

Van mreže Milosh

  • Moderator
  • ******
  • Poruke: 22.351
  • Starost: 34
  • Lokacija: Miljakovac, jugozapad BG
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #4 poslato: 26. Maj 2016. u 12:40 »
Ostvaren san svakog stormčejsera!  :worthy: Pa da i danas uslikaš još ponešto nalik svemu ovome.  :D


padavine u februaru 2024:
Vračar - 4.3mm
Miljakovac 4.8mm
prosek - 43.5mm

padavine u martu 2024:
Vračar - 26.0mm
Miljakovac - 27.2mm
prosek - 48.7mm

Van mreže Aleksa

  • ***
  • Poruke: 2.973
  • Lokacija: Sovljak (Opština Bogatić)
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #5 poslato: 26. Maj 2016. u 14:01 »
Svaka cast na reportazi!

Slike su neverovatne!  :worthy:

Van mreže skomimaster

  • ***
  • Poruke: 3.004
  • Starost: 31
  • Lokacija: Beograd-Borča (72m n.v.)
    • AMS Beograd - Borča
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #6 poslato: 26. Maj 2016. u 14:32 »
Svaka cast, slike ostavljaju bez daha, fenomenalno! Takodje svaka cast za uspesan storm chase i izdvojeno vreme da to podelis ovde s nama na sjajan nacin.  :tu:  :worthy:

Van mreže pavlovic

  • Moderator
  • ***
  • Poruke: 4.535
  • Starost: 38
  • Lokacija: Chicago, Illinois
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #7 poslato: 28. Maj 2016. u 06:02 »
Hvala ljudi!

26.5.2016, Tornado bust za centralni Kanzas, ili puno grada a nigde tornada

Superćelija: Da, nekoliko
Tornado: Ne
Grad: Da
Dužina praćenja ćelija: prva 40 minuta, našao sam se ispred nje, večernju SC i posle MCS sam pratio 120 minuta, a onda me je stigao.

Nažalost, juče kad sam ustao i proverio kratkoročni HRRR model davao je scenario koji se i ostvario i upropastio šanse za tornada.

Ćelije su počele da bukću na sve strane već oko podneva, spajale su se, gušile jedna drugu. Tornada u zoni koju je i SPC označio kao hot spot nije ni bilo, a izgleda i da je po određenim slojevima pristigao i suv vazduh...

Bilo je više rundi nevremena, a skoro sva su nastajala oko Dodž Sitija.

Prvo nevreme od koga sam morao da se sklanjam je bila ogromna HP ćelija.

Severe thunderstorms central Kansas, 5/26/16 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Prava bežanija je nastala kada je odjednom krenuo grad, iako ćelija još pošteno nije ni stigla do moje pozicije :D HP ćelijama ne verujem uopšte i sklanjam se od njih...

Severe thunderstorms central Kansas, 5/26/16 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr





Druga ćelija je više izgledala kao klasična SC, davala je grad do 3 cm u prečniku, a čak je u vreme kad sam je slikao bila pod tornado warning u dva navrata, ok bilo je rotacija, ali sveukupno nije delovala preterano opasno... Na nju su se uskoro nakačili drugi Cbovi i sve se jako brzo ugasilo.

Severe thunderstorms central Kansas, 5/26/16 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Severe thunderstorms central Kansas, 5/26/16 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr





Na kraju se sve živo pospajalo i formirao se MCS, prelepa formacija pred polazak nazad za Čikago. Bilo je jakog vetra i grada do veličine lešnika.

Severe thunderstorms central Kansas, 5/26/16 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Severe thunderstorms central Kansas, 5/26/16 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr

Severe thunderstorms central Kansas, 5/26/16 by Nikola Pavlovic, on Flickr





Sondaže





SPC prognoza:







Citat
...SUMMARY...
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND
   DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
   NEBRASKA...KANSAS...WESTERN OKLAHOMA...AND PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL
   TEXAS.  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL OTHERWISE BE
   POSSIBLE OVER A BROAD AREA OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS.

   ...NEB/KS...
   MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A DEEPENING LOW NEAR DDC...WITH A
   WARM FRONT EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN KS.  A VERY
   MOIST AND EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS PRESENT IN THE WARM SECTOR
   OF THE LOW...WHERE NEAR DRY-ADIABATIC MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 4000 J/KG.  GIVEN THE
   APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS THIS
   AFTERNOON...IT APPEARS THERE IS A CHANCE OF AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER
   EVENT OVER PARTS OF KS AND SOUTHERN NEB. 

   STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON NEAR THE SURFACE LOW
   OVER SOUTHWEST KS...AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON/EVENING ALONG THE WARM FRONT ACROSS THE MDT RISK AREA.
   MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THE EVOLUTION OF THESE STORMS MAY BE MESSY
   WITH MIXED MODES.  HOWEVER...THE UNUSUALLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
   ENVIRONMENT...COUPLED WITH INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING AND WIND
   FIELDS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS...SUGGESTS THE RISK OF STRONG
   TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.  THERE IS SOME RISK OF MULTIPLE
   ROUNDS OF CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL KS AS STORMS EMANATING FROM CO
   MOVE INTO THE AREA AFTER DARK.

Videe još nisam sredio, sutra ću se zabavljati sa njima, zeza me nešto net, pa ako sve bude OK kačim ih sutra.

Van mreže pavlovic

  • Moderator
  • ***
  • Poruke: 4.535
  • Starost: 38
  • Lokacija: Chicago, Illinois
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #8 poslato: 29. Maj 2016. u 02:47 »
Tri videa:

U prvoj sceni prvog videa sam se našao u inflow zoni, čuje se jeziv fijuk vetra, ćelija je usisavala ogromne količine vlažnog i toplog vazduha, pre nego što je spustila prvi tornado.

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oE9MUapva3o" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oE9MUapva3o</a>

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYFRMZV2Rkw" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYFRMZV2Rkw</a>

<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHhu0aO_fRE" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHhu0aO_fRE</a>

Imam problem sa AF pa su videi u određenim trenucima jako mutni.

Evo i dnevnika puta po danima:











I to je sve od mene, do sledećeg čejsa.
« Poslednja izmena: 29. Maj 2016. u 02:58 pavlovic »

Van mreže Јоца

  • ***
  • Poruke: 3.105
  • Starost: 28
  • Lokacija: Београд - Церак
Odg: Avanture u Aleji tornada, maj 2016.
« Odgovor #9 poslato: 29. Maj 2016. u 03:54 »
Свака част Никола, савршено! Не знам шта бих све написао на ово, а да не буде сувишно.  :first: